Guy Gentile
Seven books on trading, risk, and market structure. Decades on the desk — from SpeedTrader to the macro desk — written for fund managers, independent traders, and anyone trying to read the tape before the headline.
Daily notes
Trend Bull On The Surface, Rates And Energy Underneath
The desk read is a trend-bull regime running at reduced size: index gamma is long, volatility is contained near 17.5, and the ten-year sits just under 5% with crude still the inflation input.
Oil Gives Back The War Premium And The Headline Trade Returns
Crude reversed hard on de-escalation talk and equities took relief from a softer line on AI policy. Nothing structural changed — the supply constraint and the rate level are both still in place.
Seven books by Guy Gentile
Latest research

September 15 Tape: The 10-Year Breaks 5%, Energy Is The Only Green Sector, And SPY Sits Between A 760 Put Shelf And A 775 Call Wall Into The Fed
The 10-year hit 5.02%, its highest since 2007, one day before a Fed decision that futures put at roughly 92% for a quarter-point hike to a 3.75%–4.00% upper bound. Crude is back above $100 after the Saudi pipeline shutdown, energy is the only sector bid, and SPY at 757 is pinned between the heaviest put open interest at 760/750 and a stacked call wall at 775/790. Here is the macro, the movers, the Fed path and the gamma map.

September 14 Tape: Oil Gives Back The War Premium, Trump Talks AI Off The Ledge, And The Midterm Headline Trade Is Back
Crude came off nearly $110 on Brent and $105 on WTI after Trump said Iran is eager to reach a deal, while 'Don't kill the Golden Goose' reversed the AI-slowdown panic that had hit chips into the weekend. The tape rallied on headline relief, but Hormuz is still disrupted, no agreement exists, and rates are still elevated — so this is a repricing of premium, not a regime change.

September 13 Weekend Special: Anthropic, OpenAI and Musk Just Told Tech Investors To Brace For Monday
Over the weekend of September 12–13, 2026, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei published a sweeping essay calling for the AI industry to deliberately slow down, warning that unchecked capability gains could outrun human control. OpenAI's Sam Altman and xAI's Elon Musk backed the call, Altman told Fortune OpenAI will delay its IPO until at least 2027, and tech investor Jason Calacanis warned on X that AI stocks could drop more than 10% at Monday's open. Here is what the weekend changed — and what I am watching before the bell.

Why Liquidity Event Belongs On Every Fund Manager's Desk
Most fund managers are trained to find good ideas. The best ones are trained to find the right moment. Guy Gentile's Liquidity Event connects macro regime, catalyst calendar, forced flow, and execution discipline into one repeatable institutional framework.






